College Fantasy Football championships are won and lost on the waiver wire. Joe Arpasi has identified the players you need to target on this week’s waiver wire that will help give your fantasy team a champion’s edge.
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This is the last game of the season, so all the players listed below are one week spot-start targets. Since this is a smaller group of players I am not doing an Honorable Mention section.
QUARTERBACKS
Roman Gagliano (MidTN) 2% Rostered
Gagliano took over the starting job two weeks ago and the offense has found a spark they were missing all season long. In his two starts he has scored 35.65 and 36.1 fantasy points. The coaches are also giving him usage in the running game and last week he scored twice on the ground.
Rodney Tisdale (W Ky) 6% Rostered
Volume Workload Target
I’m going to ignore last week’s performance against LSU as that was expected to be a bad day. In Tisdale’s two games prior to that he has scored 31.85 and 35.55 fantasy points. His opponents in those two games had similar match up grades to what we see for this week, making it easier to have confidence in him in Week 14.
Joe Pesansky (FLInt) 0% Rostered
Pesansky has done some nice things since being inserted into the starting QB job. He scored 32.05 and 28.3 fantasy points against Middle Tennessee and Liberty before having an off game last week against Jacksonville State (17.8 fantasy points). The match up with JSU last week was a good one and I don’t have any insight on why his production was held in check. He should have no problem bouncing back against Sam Houston.
Broc Lowry (WestMi) 7% Rostered
The biggest knock on Lowry is that he has a limited fantasy ceiling. His last three games have seen him post 23.7, 21.5, & 27.6 fantasy points. His match up grades over that span were a B-, B-, & A-. The A- was his last game where he did score the most points, and this week’s match up grade is slightly better.
RUNNING BACKS
Austyn Dendy (BGSU) 11% Rostered
Volume Workload Target
Over Dendy’s last four games he is averaging 15.65 fantasy points from 21.5 carries for 94.5 yards and 0.75 TDs. He is the best combination of reliability and a good schedule match up of all the RBs I’m highlighting. Most of his recent games have received fantasy match up grades in the C range and this week’s match up improves to a B.
London Montgomery (ECU) 20% Rostered
Last week Montgomery hit a speed bump with a 5.2 fantasy point production against UTSA. That had a B fantasy match up grade like the Memphis game, but he was able to have fantasy success against Memphis. Match ups don’t get any better than they do this week with Florida Atlantic which is why Montgomery still sits highly on my RB target board.
Caleb Komolafe (NW) 16% Rostered
Komolafe has been a pretty reliable fantasy back this season. If you look at his last three games (omitting the Michigan game) he has scored 24.5, 24.33, & 25.6 fantasy points. I’m not sure if he can hit the 20 point range again this week but his match up grade for this week is very similar to those games where he did score 20+ fantasy points.
Jaquari Lewis (App) 5% Rostered
Volume Workload Target
Lewis exploded out of nowhere last week with 33 carries for 175 yards and 2 TD in his 35.9 fantasy point performance. The rushing match up grade for App State last week was a C, and this weeks game with Arkansas State has a C+ match up grade. There’s a lot of risk involved with placing Lewis in your line up but if he gets a 20+ carry workload again he should have a nice fantasy ceiling.
WIDE RECEIVERS
Tre Richardson (Vand) 1% Rostered
Vandy’s passing game has caught fire the last two games, and Richardson has been extremely productive during that time scoring 19.9 and 36.9 fantasy points. The 3 TDs he scored last week will be hard to match this week against Tennessee but I think the game is intriguing. The passing match up grade is an A, while the two games before it were B+ grades. Vandy is playing for a chance to get into the playoffs and I think they will continue to throw it like they have to keep those playoff hopes alive.
Alex Perry (FLInt) 4% Rostered
Volume Workload Target
I think Perry might be the safest options of all these WRs. In his last three games he’s put up 21.6, 18.8, & 18.9 fantasy points and he’s received 8, 11, & 9 targets in those contests. He’s also scored a TD in his last four games. This week’s match up with Sam Houston grades out similar to the last three games and I think its possible that he could crack the 20 fantasy point barrier.
Shelton Sampson (ULLaf) 21% Rostered
Volume Workload Target
Sampson’s performance last week was disappointing to say the least. He still managed to get his normal workload of targets but he was productive, catching 3 receptions for 35 yards and no TDs. The three games before that he posted 15.9, 28.88, & 22.5 fantasy points. I still think he can get back on track this week against UL-Monroe.
Carlos Hernandez (Wake) 25% Rostered
Its hard to believe how much Hernandez has exploded over the last two weeks, scoring 36.1 and 34.2 fantasy points. I worry that he is bound for regression this week but when I looked at the passing match ups I felt like I needed to include him on this list. In those last two games his passing match up grades were a C and C+, and this week’s game against Duke has a B- grade. I can’t say he has another 30+ fantasy performance in him but the potential fantasy ceiling is very nice.
Donovan Faupel (NMS) 5% Rostered
Volume Workload Target
I’ve felt like Faupel has been up and down all season but when I looked at his last five games it seems like he hits more than he misses. In those games he has scored 19.4, 4.4, 16.7, 12.5, & 25.45 fantasy points. He’s received 8+ targets in all those games and 10+ targets in three of them. his TD production is shaky though but the early Vegas lines are calling for New Mexico State to score 29.5 points.
TIGHT ENDS
Jyrin Johnson (BGSU) 11% Rostered
Volume Workload Target
Johnson has been a reliable high floor fantasy TE over his last five games. He’s scored 6+ fantasy points in all those games and his last three outing scored 9.4, 11.6, & 7.8 fantasy points. He’s only been able to find the end zone once during that span meaning his fantasy ceiling is low. What I like about this week is that his passing match up grade is better than what he had in his last three games.
Noah Meyers (W Ky) 5% Rostered
I mentioned in the QB section that I like this match up for the Western Kentucky passing game. Meyers missed time with an injury but his first game back saw him put up 16 fantasy points against Middle Tennessee. Once again I’m ignoring the low output against LSU last week.
Rocky Beers (ColSt) 21% Rostered
Volume Workload Target
I’m a bit torn on Beers this week. He’s probably the hottest TE right now scoring 14.1, 16.2, & 18.9 fantasy points in his last three games. Two of his last three games had a B- passing match up grade, but last week’s game against Boise State had a D grade and he scored 18.9 fantasy points in that one. This week’s game against Air Force has a C+ passing match up grade and Air Force will limit how many possessions Colorado State gets. If you want to shoot for the most upside then Beers is the best TE to target this week.
David Larkins (App) 0% Rostered
Larkins stepped into the starting role three games ago and posted 10.5 fantasy points. He sat out the next game but returned last week with 10.7 fantasy points. He scored a TD in each of those games and this week contest with Arkansas State has a similar match up grade to those two prior games.
Joel Hasley (Duke) 2% Rostered
Volume Workload Target
Hasley has found his place in the passing game. His last four games saw three performance with 9+ fantasy points, and last week against North Carolina he posted 18 fantasy points. Wake Forrest has a tough defense and its likely that his fantasy production will dip, but I wanted to make sure I had at least one Power 4 TE out there for those of you who don’t play in full FBS leagues.